NFL TIPS 11/11
Tampa Bay vs Cardinals
Both Teams To Score @20+ Points
7 Units @$1.90 (TAB)
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Both Teams To Score 25+ Points
1 Unit @$3.65 (Pointsbet)
This Tampa Bay side has the leagues only pair of WRs with 700+ rec yards on the year in the form of Evans and Godwin who have combined for 1,608 yards through 8 games. They’ve put up 20+ in all bar their 1st game of the season against SF and are coming off a 34-40 OT loss to the Seahawks last week for their 4th straight loss. Scoring points hasn’t been an issue for this TB side, and this market has cashed in 6 straight. This is largely due to their terrible pass defence, which is why opposition coaches have been extremely pass heavy against the Bucs, and they are the most passed-on unit in the league, having allowed the most completions and second most yards.
The Cardinals offence has started to click and other than that NO game, they’ve managed 25 (against SF), 27, 34 and 26 in 4 of their last 5 games. Kyle Murray and Kliff Kingbury have both settled into their rookie campaigns and after a slow start to the year the future is bright for Arizona. Last week against a historically good SF defence, the Cardinals averaged 7.1 yards per play.
Expect a pass heavy shootout from both sides.
MULTI
Kancas City WIN
Baltimore Ravens WIN
7 Units @$1.65 (Beteasy – use betboost)
Mahomes should return here to face a Ryan Tannehill led Titans side. The Titans have been far from impressive this year and Tannehill at QB represents the uncertainty faced by the franchise. KC are easily the better side and are rolling off their win against the Vikings with a backup QB. KC shouldn’t really be threatened by the Titans here
The Bengals may very well be the worst team in the NFL and they come up against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens who are in red hot form. To make things even worse Ryan Finley will be starting at QB for the Bengals. Rolling off 14 and 17 point wins off the Seahawks and Patriots respectively look for the Ravens to make it 5 straight. They are the better team on both sides of the ball.
Cleveland Browns WIN $1.66 (Pointsbet)
6 Units
Now is the time to buy the Browns at rock-bottom and sell the Bills on a high. With Baker Mayfields ongoing struggles this game is going to be largely decided by the Browns rushing game. Kareem Hunt (2017 league rushing leader) is activated from suspension and in combination with Chubb, will be a big issue for the Bills run defence, which has been an issue. Buffalo are a good side, with a good future, however they are not as good as their 6-2 record might suggest. Their 6 wins come against sides with a combined 9-42 record. This Browns side has a lot of talent and as we saw against the Ravens if the opposition is unable to contain Chubb and their running game the Browns are able to be successful. Look for a Browns win to ignite their season and with the Steelers and Dolphins up next both also at home, look for the Browns to be .500 or above come the new year.
Packers vs Panthers
Total Score OVER 47.5 $1.91 (sportsbet)
4 units
Both Teams To Score 20+ Points
3 Units @$2.40 (TAB)
This market has cashed in 5/6 and 4/6 of their last games for the Packers and Panthers respectively. We have two excellent offences led by Rodgers for the packers and McCaffrey continues to raise an argument for an MVP level season, with 166 yards and 3 TDs. Look for the Packers to bounce back from that embarrassing display against the Chargers. This should be a tight game which is decided late in the 4th but this is a huge price on a game with two excellent offensive units.
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