NFL TIPS 29/9
LEVEL BET MULTI
New England Patriots -6.5 ($1.80- Alternate handicap)
Colts WIN ($1.36)
Kansas City WIN ($1.30)
$3.42 (Ladbrokes – Use BetBoost)
8 Units
Level 1 = $100
Since Tom Brady started playing in the NFL, he is 15-2 straight up (and 13-4 ATS) playing in Buffalo. In fact, he has MORE wins as a starting QB than anyone else over this time at Buffalo, even more than any individual Bills QB!
Both these sides have started 3-0. We detailed extensively both the defensive strengths of these sides last week and there is still a lot of truth to that, although the edge must be given to the Patriots who once again did not give up a defensive touchdown for the 4th straight game (the Jets scored on a muffed punt after Edelmen was injured and the backup punt returned was in and a pick-6 from the backup QB, neither really things to be concerned about going forward).
Our concern for the Bills here will be scoring points, they’ve only managed 66 points despite playing three bottom 10 defences in the Jets, Bengals and Giants. Expect Brady and the New England offence to have a bigger game than his counterpart Allen as the Patriots win by 2-3 scores.
See Colts reasoning below:
Kansas City have been unbelievable to start the year, lead by Mahomes they’ve put up 10 passing TDs through three games, over 10 net yards per attempt and this has all been done with 0 interceptions. It’s hard to see any defence stopping this onslaught, but particularly not the Lions. Expect a lot of Andy Reid screen passes to exploit the shocking Lions run defence and then open up the field for Mahomes to attack deep.
Expect the Chiefs to come away with another big score and the win here.
New York Giants vs Washington Redskins – OVER 48.5 Points
6 Units @$1.91 (Beteasy)
Both of these sides gave up 31 points last week to Tampa Bay and Chicago respectively and have some serious defensive issues. We highlighted the Redskins issues last week before their game against the Bears and the as predicted the Bears put up a monster score. Meanwhile for NY, Daniel Jones was the headline in NY this week after engineering that amazing come from behind win and he is looking to build on that strong debut. But what nobody is really talking about is how horrendous their defense is. 31st in total defense and have given up 887 (Yes that’s correct! 887! That’s not a typo) yards to the Bills and Tampa Bay over the last 2 weeks!!! Its hard to see either team stopping the other on defense, and we are predicting this to fly over the total, even with Barkley out injured for the Giants.
Colts -6.5 vs Raiders
6 Units @$1.92
This Raiders side has a lot issues, but the worst of which is defensively, there are issues everywhere. In particular against the run where they gave up 211 yards last week and their secondary isn’t flash either. This is why they’ve lost by 38 points combined across the past two weeks.
They come up against a very solid Colts side that is an OT loss and few missed kicks away from being a perfect 3-0 to start the season. Brissett has began his starting career admirably and is more than good enough to exploit these defensive issues on the Raiders side.
Less than a touchdown at home against a poor Raiders side on back-to-back long road trips is a great spot for the Colts who should win by double digits
Minnesota Vikings WIN
5 Units @$2.02
The Vikings have quietly gone about their business so far this season and defensively have been very sound in almost all metrics. On the other side of the ball, Dalvin Cook has been tremendous with 375 rushing yards to lead the league so far, and aside from some bad errors in that poor display against the Packers by Cousins there isn’t much not to like about this Vikings side.
This Bears offence continues to struggle despite putting up a big score against the Redskins, they were still kept under 300 total yards, a mark they are yet to eclipse this season. Given their struggles running the ball, against a good run defence, Trubisky will be forced to throw it more, which doesn’t bode well for the Bears. Expect this to be a tight, relatively low scoring affair but the Vikings are an attractive underdog here!
EARLY WEEKEND PLAYS ALREADY SENT ON THURSDAY
Browns +7
6 Units @$1.88
Bengals vs Steelers
Bengals +4.5
5 Units @$1.83 (Sportsbet)
Bengals WIN
2 Units @$2.76 (Beteasy)