NFL TIPS 25/11
LEVEL 6 MULTI
Seattle Seahwawks +10.5 $1.23 (Pick your own line)
NY Jets +11.5 $1.30 (Pick your own line)
= $1.59 (TAB)
9 units
Level 6 = $1497.53 (after withdrawing $100 at completion of level 2 and $300 at completion of level 4 to ensure profit)
Return = $2,381.07
^^^HIGH STAKES 10K CHALLENGE (no cash outs)
Level 6 = $2,655.91
Return = $4,222.90
We project the Seahawks as favourites here against the Phillies who come in off the bye after that fantastic OT win against the 49ers last time out. Pete Carroll is excellent off the bye, with his Seahawks 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last 6 years off their bye.
They’re 5-0 on the road this season and averaging 28.3 ppg. Wilson looks set to continue to add to his MVP case here against a porous Eagles secondary. Wentz and the Eagles continue to have big issues scoring with their star WR’s injured. After getting a 10-0 lead 3 minutes into the second quarter against the Patriots they were unable to score another point. This is a very good Seahawks side who should be able to exploit the weaknesses of the Eagles and come away with another road win.
Another big concern for the Eagles is their offensive line with Lane Johnson ruled out. On top of the issues they have had scoring in previous weeks they will now lose a key member of their offensive line. In games with Johnson playing – Wentz is 25-13 whereas just 3-9 without him. This a small sample size but his importance to their offensive line is massive.
The Jets continue to be undervalued by the market, following a quite frankly disrespectful line last week against the Redskins which gave us one of the most stress-free winners of the season with the Jets as an underdog taking an early lead, getting to 34-3 before some consolation TDs late in the 4th made the game seem closer that it really was. Very strange to see the Jets getting any points here, let alone 3 on the spread!
The Jets own the best run defence in the league and should be able to limit the Raiders running game, which is integral to their success. Sam Darnold, other than that game against the Patriots has been great and been able to punish poor defensive units. The Raiders rank 27th against the pass so we should see another big night for the Jets QB. They’ve put up 34 points in two consecutive weeks and should be able to score freely again tonight.
Even when the Raiders have won this year they have all been close games. Margins of victory: 8 vs Broncos, 7 vs Colts, 3 vs Bears, 7 vs Lions, 2 vs Chargers, 7 vs Bengals. Look for the Jets to keep this one very close and don’t be surprised to see them record a third straight victory.
Broncos +4
6 Units @$1.91 (Pointsbet/ladbrokes)
Vic Fangio and his team have finally found their mojo. They’re 3-3 in their last 6 with wins over the Browns, Chargers and Titans and two very tight losses to the Colts (2) and Vikings (4). They should be able to run the ball with Lindsay and Freeman to exploit the Bills run defence which continues to be a big issue for the side.
Coming up against a Bills offence that has only scored 17 or more points in 3 of their last 7 – against the Dolphins (x2) and Redskins, they look set to struggle to put up points against a good Broncos side. Denver are a very good chance to win this game straight up.
Cowboys +6
5 Units @$1.88 (ladbrokes)
Terrible weather forecast for NE, with heavy rain and strong winds. The total has been bet down nearly 4 points to which there is no value left in it. But this should be a very tight game and will likely be decided by a FG either way.
The Patriots continue to struggle offensively with so many skill players and offensive linemen out injured. The loss of Gronk continues to be felt in many ways, obviously his big body as a target downfield but his impact on the running game was huge and along with the linemen issues is a big reason why the NE running game has struggled this season.
Dak Prescott should be in MVP contention based on his numbers this year. Look for him to have some success against this Patriots defence and Elliot should bounce back this week after 2 poor performances which have seen him only record 92 combined yards in this time.
This game should be tight and decided late in the 4th. Take the points for the Cowboys in what should be a relatively low scoring game!
Falcons vs Tampa Bay – Both Teams To Score 20+ (YES)
6 Units @$1.83 (Pointsbet)
Turning back to the BTTS 20+ market here for another Tampa game. After a streak of 7 straight covers in this market they were only able to score 17 against the Saints thanks to some ill timed interceptions.
We have our total at this game set at 55, a few points higher than the bookies and it will likely be another one-score game for Tampa so we should see both teams fly past 20 here.
Same Game Multi (Sportsbet)
Bears to win
New York Giants +14.5 Alternate Handicap
5 Units @$2.20
Despite the offensive struggles of the Bears in recent times they are still the better side here and that’s reflected by the 1.35 ML. However given their offensive struggles throughout the season regardless of whether we see Trubisky, Daniels or a combination of both the game its hard to see them winning by 3+ scores. The -6.5 line is perfectly set and this has the makings of a 7-10 point gritty win for the Bears.
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