NFL TIPS 12/11
Seahawks vs SF 49ers
Both Teams To Score 15+ Points:
6 Units @$1.58 (Pointsbet/sportsbet)
Level 4: $680.96
^^^HIGH STAKES 10K CHALLENGE (no cash outs)
Level 4 = $870.96
Both Teams To Score 20+ Points
3 Units @$2.30 (TAB)
What a game we have on Monday Night Football as the 7-2 Seahawks take on the NFLs only remaining undefeated team the 8-0 SF 49ers in this NFC West matchup.
Defensively the Seahawk’s issues continue, giving up 34 points last week to Tampa Bay at home. They rank 30th in yards per play, 25th in total yards allowed and have continued to allow huge scores against them, particularly in the past 5 weeks. 34 (Tampa), 20 (Falcons), 30 (Ravens), 28 (Browns), 29 (Rams). They come up against a solid SF unit who have really clicked into top gear recently with 79 points across the past two rounds. With Jusczcyk, McGlinchey and Staley all back into the fray this week, look for the 49ers offence to be even better with these key players back, particularly in the running game. SF should have no issues scoring against this Seahawks defensive unit.
On the other side of the ball, Russell Wilson has been incredible this year, and is the current frontrunner for MVP at this stage, albeit with Jackson and McCaffrey right on his tail. He has 22 TDs to 1 INT on the year and despite one of the leagues worst defensive units Wilson has been able to carry this team to a 7-2 record putting up 27+ points in 7 of their last 8 games. Of particular note is how Wilson fares vs zone defences and man coverage. Wilson has averaged 10.1 yards per attempt at a 78 completion percentage against the zone, which is considerably higher than his numbers against man coverage. This is important in this match up as the 49ers play more zone defence than just about anyone else in the NFL. Whilst they do have one of the league best pass rushing units, Wilson is one of the best QBs, arguably ever when scrambling (see Wilson’s TD pass to Lockett against the Rams).
Whilst SF defence has been excellent this year, they have been helped by a relatively weak schedule. Against the run, they are allowing the 6th most yards per carry and have allowed 110+ yards on 14 or 15 carries in their last two games as well as 81 and 87 on 20/16 carries respectively in weeks 7 and 5. Throw in an injury to Kwon Alexander, who had been their second leading tackler and Carson looks set to have a big game here for the Seahawks. He has averaged over 100 rushing yards per game in the past 6 weeks.
The BTTS 15+ market has cashed in 8/9 games for the Seahawks this year and we should see it salute here once again. SF should put a lot of points and we think Seattle can match them.
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