NFL TIPS 7/10
LEVEL BET MULTI
Chicago Bears WIN
New England Patriots 1st Half WIN (3-way market)
Beteasy (BetBoost) @$1.70
8 units
Level 2 = $225
This Bears defence is supreme as we have been harping on about all season and they are still yet to allow more than 15 points in a game this season. Mack is going to have a monster game against his old club and a mediocre O-line. Chase Daniel is a marginal at most drop-off from Mitch Trubisky and Nagy will still be able to utilise his vast offensive playbook here. The Raiders continue their arduous travel schedule (this game is in London) and are up against a far superior team.
The Redskins are terrible, and unlike the Dolphins are not actively trying to tank. They’ve been down 17-3 to the Giants and 28-3 to the Bears at HT and they come up against a 4-0 Patriots side who by some metrics are the best defensive side through the 1st 4 games of the season OF ALL TIME! The Patriots will dominate the Redskins and rack up an early lead and carry it through for an easy victory.
Carolina Panthers -3.0
7 units @$1.83 (Bet365)
Turnovers aside, Kyle Allen has been impressive thus far since filling in for Cam Newton. “Minshew Mania” has taken over and whilst we love the story, the rookie QB is going to come up short here. The Panthers defence was dominant against the Texans last week and we are predicting another good showing from there here. Look for Allen to learn from his mistakes in regards to the fumbles and expect better ball security as he leads his at home to what should a victory in a game were our line is at -5.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
5 Units @$1.90
Pittsburgh Steelers WIN
2 Units @$2.55 (Sportsbet/Beteasy)
We are going to be selling high on the Ravens, who are being severely overrated and do not deserve to be road favourites of more than a field goal here. They beat up two terrible teams to start the season, however we have seen in recent weeks the very real flaws in this side, particularly on the defence, where Murray (349), Mahomes (374) and Mayfield (342) all put up huge numbers and their run defence isn’t much better as we saw (and predicted) last week against the Browns who won and covered as a 7 point underdog.
The Steelers have designed a very good scheme to help Mason Rudolph at QB and we saw him go 24-28 on passes on Monday against the Bengals. This should be a tight game and the Steelers are a very attractive underdog here.
Denver Broncos +6
4 Units @$1.86 (Beteasy/ladbrokes)
Denver Broncos WIN
2 Units @$3.17 (Beteasy)
The Chargers have one of the most extensive injury lists in football, particularly on the defensive side. Last week against the Dolphins they allowed Rosen a 106 QBR in the 1st half! Their secondary is depleted and the loss of Melvin Ingram their superstar DE is a big loss. On the other side of the ball the injuries continue and they are scraping the bottom of the barrel with just 3 fit receivers. Now Keenan Allen will play, but he will line up against one of the most underrated players in the league, corner Chris Harris. In their 3 meetings, Harris has held Allen to 1 rec / 5 yards, 2 /22 and 6/69.
This will be another game tighter than the line suggests and could be decided by a field goal either way!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
5 Units @$1.90 (Beteasy)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers WIN
2 Units @$2.40 (BetEasy)
Our final underdog of the week. This Saints offence with Teddy Bridgewater has shown his inability to pass downfield, which will allow an underrated Tampa defensive unit to exploit these weaknesses. Now is the time to buy low on this Tampa Bay side, who were very impressive dropping 55 on the Rams last week. As long as Winston can keep his turnovers in check they should be able to cover and most likely win tonight.
Dallas Cowboys -3.5
5 Units @$2.00 (TAB)
The Packers ran defence is shambolic and the Cowboys are running the ball a lot this year, which was detrimental against the Saints however should mean a huge night for Elliot and as a result Prescott and this RPO cowboys offence. This should be a high scoring affair and with Adams out injured for the Packers their offence fell apart when he went off last week. This should be a high scoring affair and we expect the Cowboys to come out on top.
Vikings -5.5
5 Units @$1.90 (Beteasy/tab)
The Vikings let us down last week against the Bears with a poor performance from Kirk Cousins who once against struggles against a good defence. However he is excellent against poor defences of which the Giants are guilty. On the flip side their defence is very solid and whilst Daniel Jones is looking like being a very good QB in the league for a long time he will struggle here against the #6 ranked defence in the league. Look for a big game from Diggs against a poor pass defence of the Giants as they should win by a TD or more.
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